Lower borrowing costs have set the stage for modest improvement across most commercial real estate segments in 2025. But continued global uncertainty, particularly around U.S. trade policy, remains a limiting factor.

GVR Economics' latest forecast suggests 2025 could be a year of careful recalibration for the commercial market, with investors likely to continue being highly selective in their choice of investment and divestment opportunities.

Key highlights

  • Transaction volumes across the Lower Mainland hit a decade low in 2024—down seven per cent year-over-year
  • Multi-family and retail assets outperformed other segments, showing that capital is ready, but selective.
  • In 2025, we expect slight volume increases in most segments, but economic headwinds will continue to weigh on investor confidence.